pickitbox Discuss a pilot

For B2B finance and leadership teams

Before you commit,
test the numbers.

See how a price change, a new contract or a product investment could affect revenue. Find the conditions that turn a gain into a loss.

Bring us one decision

Start with public data. Add company totals when needed.

Three decisions.
A clearer financial case.

Each pilot connects a proposed change to the numbers management needs to review.

Pricing

Will the increase
pay off?

Test price rises, discounts and changes in paid usage. Check when contracts allow the new price to apply.

Your financial brief

Revenue scenarios, eligible revenue, the break-even volume loss and a pilot measurement plan.

Discuss a pricing pilot

Contract terms

What does earlier
payment cost?

Compare monthly and annual payment, discounts and renewal timing. Track cash collected alongside earned revenue.

Your financial brief

Cash timing, revenue given up, required extra paid volume and the effect of assumed offer uptake.

Discuss contract terms

Product investment

How much demand
covers the cost?

Test a paid feature or a new service against its launch cost, running cost and time to market.

Your financial brief

Required paid adoption, cost recovery and the effect of a late launch or a cost overrun.

Discuss an investment

One decision.
One reviewable brief.

Use the result in a budget review, a board discussion or a limited rollout.

Bring the change you want to test.

Tell us the company, the proposed change and when it could take effect. We agree on the financial measure and a fixed pilot scope and fee before work starts.

Public sources establish the starting context. Optional company totals help measure the money at risk. We ask for the next missing figure only when it affects the calculation.

  • Compare the financial outcomesCurrent terms and the proposed change, under stated response assumptions.
  • See where the gain disappearsA break-even threshold and the figures that have the largest effect.
  • Review the evidenceDated sources, calculations and open questions in one brief.
  • Agree on a test before rolloutA financial limit, an observation period and results to compare.

Measured against
a simple baseline.

We test financial forecasts on historical quarters with dated inputs and fixed calculation rules.

34.5%lower average scaled revenue error

Against a simple trend across 24 quarters at Okta, PagerDuty and GitLab. The method also reduced error by 36.5% against company guidance.

18.6%lower average scaled revenue error

Against trend across 23 scored quarters at Box, Domo and Yext during 2020–2022. One selected quarter lacked the required reported figures.

These historical results measure total quarterly revenue forecasts. The effect of a specific pricing, contract or product decision needs its own pilot. Results varied by company. Shortfall detection remains untested because the eligible quarters contained no guidance-floor misses.

Read the method and all results

Before we start

What information do you need?

Start with the company, proposed decision and timing. We can then identify the figures that matter. For pricing, this is often eligible revenue and realized price. For investment, it is cost, margin and a paid-demand assumption. You can keep customer identities private.

How do you use AI?

AI helps gather public evidence and identify questions to check. Mathematical rules calculate the financial scenarios. Each result states the available facts and the assumptions that drive it.

What can public data tell us?

Published prices, financial reports and contract terms can establish a starting point. Your affected revenue, discounts and customer response can require internal totals or a pilot. We identify those gaps in the brief.

How is a pilot priced?

We agree on a fixed fee after reviewing the decision, data and scope. The first discussion establishes whether the question can be measured and what a useful result would contain.

What are you
about to change?

Tell us in one or two sentences. We will reply by email to discuss the question, data and pilot scope.

We store these details to respond to your enquiry. Keep confidential figures out of this form.